第一,我们要坚持建设开放型世界经济大方向。这是二十国集团应对国际金融危机的重要经验,也是推动世界经济增长的重要路径。国际组织当前调高世界经济增长预期,一个重要原因就是预计国际贸易增长2.4%、全球投资增加5%。我们要坚持走开放发展、互利共赢之路,共同做大世界经济的蛋糕。作为世界主要经济体,我们应该也能够发挥领导作用,支持多边贸易体制,按照共同制定的规则办事,通过协商为应对共同挑战找到共赢的解决方案。
Firstly, we should stay committed to building an open global economy. This commitment of the G20 to build open economies saw us through the global financial crisis, and this commitment is vital to reenergizing the global economy. Various international organizations have revised upward forecast for this year’s global growth, mainly because of a projected 2.4 percent growth for global trade and 5 percent growth for global investment. We must remain committed to openness and mutual benefit for all so as to increase the size of the global economic “pie”. As the world’s major economies, we should and must lead the way, support the multilateral trading system, observe the jointly established rules and, through consultation, seek all-win solutions to common challenges we face.
第二,我们要共同为世界经济增长发掘新动力。这个动力首先来自创新。研究表明,全球95%的工商业同互联网密切相关,世界经济正在向数字化转型。我们要在数字经济和新工业革命领域加强合作,共同打造新技术、新产业、新模式、新产品。这个动力也来自更好解决发展问题,落实2030年可持续发展议程。这对发展中国家有利,也将为发达国家带来市场和投资机遇,大家都是赢家。杭州峰会就创新和发展达成重要共识,有关合作势头在德国年得以延续,下一步要不断走深、走实。
Secondly, we should foster new sources of growth for the global economy. Innovation, more than anything else, is such a new source of growth. Research shows that 95 percent of the world’s businesses are now closely linked with the Internet, and the global economy is transitioning toward a digital economy. This means we should boost cooperation in digital economy and the new industrial revolution and jointly develop new technologies, new industries, new business models and new products. Another source of growth derives from making greater efforts to address the issue of development and implement the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, and such efforts will both benefit developing countries and generate business and investment opportunities for developed countries. In other words, this will be a win-win game for all. At the Hangzhou Summit last year, we reached important consensus on innovation and development. This momentum of cooperation created has been sustained this year under the German chairmanship of G20. Going forward, we should see that more substantial and concrete outcomes are delivered.
第三,我们要携手使世界经济增长更加包容。当前,世界经济发展仍不平衡,技术进步对就业的挑战日益突出。世界经济论坛预计,到2020年,人工智能将取代全球逾500万个工作岗位。二十国集团的一项重要使命,就是本着杭州峰会确定的包容增长理念,处理好公平和效率、资本和劳动、技术和就业的矛盾。要继续把经济政策和社会政策有机结合起来,解决产业升级、知识和技能错配带来的挑战,使收入分配更加公平合理。二十国集团应该更加重视在教育培训、就业创业、分配机制上交流合作。这些工作做好了,也有利于经济全球化健康发展。
Thirdly, we should work together to achieve more inclusive global growth. Currently, global economic growth is not balanced, and technological advances work against job creation. According to the projection of the World Economic Forum, artificial intelligence will take away more than 5 million jobs in the world by 2020. The G20 has an important mission, which is to reaffirm the vision of pursuing inclusive growth agreed upon at the Hangzhou Summit last year, and strike a balance between fairness and efficiency, between capital and labor, and between technology and employment. To achieve this goal, we must ensure synergy between economic and social policies, address the mismatch between industrial upgrading and knowledge and skills, and ensure more equitable income distribution. The G20 needs to place more importance on cooperation in education, training, employment, business start-up and wealth distribution-related mechanisms, as progress on these fronts will make economic globalization work better.
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